Scouting Report
Marco Kasper holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kasper wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kasper 49.8% vs Gourde 46.0% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Gourde leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 55.1%
Defensive zone
Gourde 64.8%
Neutral zone
Gourde 62.3%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Kasper
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Kasper
Gourde
Last 10: Kasper 3-7 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kasper
1
0
Kasper
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
2
3
Kasper
Gourde
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
5
Kasper
Gourde
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kasper
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (350)
47.2% (654)
+3.9%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
45.0% (20)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
31.6% (19)
32.2% (87)
-0.6%
On power play, Gourde has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kasper is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (252).
Kasper shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
Kasper
Gourde
Home
51.1% (184)
44.1% (322)
Away
48.5% (194)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Kasper
Gourde
P1
53.8%
42.4%
P2
52.2%
49.8%
P3
42.6%
44.3%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kasper
52.0%▬
52.5%
49.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 10:07 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:34 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 12:36 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 09:30 | Defensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 15:08 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Marco Kasper |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |