Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Gagner wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 47.5% vs Gourde 48.9% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 61.2%
Defensive zone
Gagner 57.9%
Neutral zone
Gagner 59.4%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 59.3%
59.3%
40.7%
Gagner
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Gagner
Gourde
Last 7: Gagner 2-5 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
3
Gagner
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gagner
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (119)
49.0% (557)
-3.6%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
65.9% (44)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (21)
29.2% (48)
+13.7%
On power play, Gourde has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Gagner is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (144).
Gagner shoots right. Gourde is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Gagner
Gourde
Home
49.0% (104)
49.0% (314)
Away
42.1% (76)
48.4% (335)
By Period
Gagner
Gourde
P1
44.4%
54.0%
P2
44.6%
44.6%
P3
49.3%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
58.5%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2, 2021 | 2 | 16:58 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| May 2, 2021 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| May 1, 2021 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 9, 2021 | OT | 01:39 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 3 | 06:33 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Mar 9, 2021 | 2 | 05:54 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Feb 3, 2021 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |