Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). O'Reilly wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — Sill shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 56.2% vs Sill 46.9% (+13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 94.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 94.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 85.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 94.4%
94.4%
5.6%
O'Reilly
Sill
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
0
(9 meetings)
9
0
O'Reilly
Sill
Last 9: O'Reilly 9-0 Sill
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
0
O'Reilly
Sill
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
6
0
O'Reilly
Sill
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Sill
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,203)
42.0% (69)
+14.9%
Power Play
60.2% (329)
100.0% (1)
-39.8%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (280)
42.9% (7)
+7.5%
On power play, Sill has a +39.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sill shoots left. O'Reilly is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,111).
O'Reilly shoots left. Sill is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (53).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Sill
Home
58.6% (879)
37.5% (56)
Away
54.6% (933)
57.1% (21)
By Period
O'Reilly
Sill
P1
55.6%
50.0%
P2
57.9%
40.7%
P3
55.7%
37.5%
Final 5 min
54.4%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.5%
Sill
42.0%▼
44.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2016 | 3 | 14:03 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 16, 2016 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 14:39 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 14:32 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 3 | 14:20 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 2 | 17:16 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 30, 2015 | 1 | 06:26 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |