Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +20.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sanford shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Sanford 42.0% (+20.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 68.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 96.9%
Neutral zone
Ryan 93.8%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 91.6%
91.6%
8.4%
Ryan
Sanford
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Ryan
Sanford
Last 6: Ryan 5-1 Sanford
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Sanford
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
1
Ryan
Sanford
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Sanford
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Sanford
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
34.7% (118)
+26.1%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
100.0% (1)
+0.0%
On even strength, Ryan has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sanford shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Ryan shoots right. Sanford is 38.3% vs right-shot opponents (47).
Home / Away
Ryan
Sanford
Home
56.7% (201)
32.9% (73)
Away
54.8% (208)
39.1% (46)
By Period
Ryan
Sanford
P1
56.7%
27.0%
P2
56.8%
34.9%
P3
53.7%
43.6%
Final 5 min
56.1%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Sanford
36.0%▬
35.0%
35.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 02:52 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Zachary Sanford |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 17:39 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |