Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.5% vs Ostapchuk 50.2% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 54.2%
Defensive zone
Ostapchuk 69.3%
Neutral zone
Ostapchuk 58.3%
Result
Zack Ostapchuk favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Minten
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Minten
Ostapchuk
Last 5: Minten 4-1 Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Minten
2
0
Minten
Ostapchuk
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
1
Minten
Ostapchuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
2
0
Minten
Ostapchuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (603)
51.7% (300)
-2.1%
Power Play
45.8% (48)
33.3% (3)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
43.6% (55)
-11.0%
On power play, Minten has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Minten is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (446).
Minten shoots left. Ostapchuk is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Minten
Ostapchuk
Home
51.6% (322)
49.1% (161)
Away
45.4% (372)
51.3% (197)
By Period
Minten
Ostapchuk
P1
44.9%
50.0%
P2
46.6%
45.7%
P3
52.1%
55.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 08:30 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 04:37 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 11:45 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 09:20 | Offensive | Fraser Minten |