Scouting Report
Zack Ostapchuk holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ostapchuk on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 47.8% vs Ostapchuk 49.0% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ostapchuk 66.6%
Defensive zone
Rooney 77.7%
Neutral zone
Rooney 57.3%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 63.5%
63.5%
36.5%
Rooney
Ostapchuk
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Rooney
Ostapchuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
1
Rooney
Ostapchuk
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
1
2
Rooney
Ostapchuk
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ostapchuk
0
2
Rooney
Ostapchuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Ostapchuk
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (319)
48.3% (271)
-1.3%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
25.0% (4)
+32.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (87)
71.4% (7)
-24.3%
On power play, Rooney has a +32.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ostapchuk shoots left. Rooney is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Rooney shoots left. Ostapchuk is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Rooney
Ostapchuk
Home
45.8% (203)
49.3% (140)
Away
48.6% (210)
47.9% (142)
By Period
Rooney
Ostapchuk
P1
47.2%
49.1%
P2
55.0%
48.9%
P3
37.3%
47.5%
Final 5 min
51.6%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
47.2%
Ostapchuk
44.0%▼
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2025 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Apr 7, 2025 | 1 | 02:10 | Neutral | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 09:19 | Defensive | Zack Ostapchuk |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Zack Ostapchuk |