Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.7% vs 52.1%). Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dubinsky 51.6% vs Smith 51.8% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Smith leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Smith 72.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 51.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 61.8%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Dubinsky
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Dubinsky
Smith
Last 10: Dubinsky 2-8 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
3
Dubinsky
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Dubinsky
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
3
Dubinsky
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dubinsky
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (1,224)
53.5% (430)
-1.5%
Power Play
66.7% (63)
47.7% (65)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
45.3% (201)
49.1% (114)
-3.8%
On power play, Dubinsky has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Dubinsky is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (902).
Dubinsky shoots left. Smith is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (364).
Home / Away
Dubinsky
Smith
Home
55.1% (732)
54.0% (298)
Away
48.5% (756)
50.2% (311)
By Period
Dubinsky
Smith
P1
51.6%
55.4%
P2
51.6%
45.9%
P3
52.3%
54.6%
OT
43.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dubinsky
66.0%▲
59.0%
51.7%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 3 | 07:05 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 18:04 | Offensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 10:02 | Defensive | Brandon Dubinsky |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 06:36 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 4, 2017 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 22, 2017 | 3 | 07:34 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 22, 2017 | 2 | 01:09 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 19, 2017 | 1 | 02:49 | Offensive | Zack Smith |