Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lindholm wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 54.0% vs Smith 48.2% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 66.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 70.7%
Neutral zone
Smith 64.0%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 67.6%
32.4%
67.6%
Lindholm
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lindholm
Smith
Last 6: Lindholm 2-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
2
Lindholm
Smith
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lindholm
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Lindholm
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (598)
49.7% (485)
+3.3%
Power Play
62.2% (111)
46.8% (47)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
54.8% (84)
38.6% (88)
+16.2%
On penalty kill, Lindholm has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Lindholm is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Lindholm shoots right. Smith is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Smith
Home
58.6% (403)
48.7% (310)
Away
50.3% (390)
47.1% (310)
By Period
Lindholm
Smith
P1
59.2%
45.8%
P2
54.2%
47.4%
P3
50.0%
50.5%
OT
66.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.5%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 13:46 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 1 | 08:21 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 05:21 | Defensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Mar 24, 2018 | 2 | 05:14 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 30, 2018 | 2 | 00:47 | Defensive | Zack Smith |