Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.8% vs 52.7%). Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Benn wins 53.8% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.5% vs Smith 52.5% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 78.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 77.4%
Neutral zone
Smith 51.5%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 63.8%
36.2%
63.8%
Benn
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Benn
Smith
Last 6: Benn 1-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
4
Benn
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Benn
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (505)
53.0% (1,048)
-0.3%
Power Play
53.1% (245)
57.4% (47)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
53.6% (28)
50.0% (196)
+3.6%
On power play, Smith has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Benn is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Benn shoots left. Smith is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Benn
Smith
Home
55.5% (398)
53.9% (629)
Away
50.0% (380)
51.5% (662)
By Period
Benn
Smith
P1
50.2%
50.4%
P2
56.3%
51.8%
P3
52.1%
56.4%
OT
50.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
54.1%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.8%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2014 | 3 | 13:40 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 2 | 10:55 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 22, 2014 | 1 | 05:37 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 3, 2013 | 1 | 06:23 | Defensive | Zack Smith |