Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.2% vs Smith 48.2% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 83.1%
Defensive zone
Benn 59.9%
Neutral zone
Benn 61.8%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Benn
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Benn
Smith
Last 5: Benn 4-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
2
0
Benn
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (534)
49.7% (485)
+3.3%
Power Play
54.4% (136)
46.8% (47)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (56)
38.6% (88)
+4.3%
On power play, Benn has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Benn is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Benn shoots left. Smith is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Benn
Smith
Home
53.5% (383)
48.7% (310)
Away
51.3% (343)
47.1% (310)
By Period
Benn
Smith
P1
54.0%
45.8%
P2
51.7%
47.4%
P3
50.9%
50.5%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.5%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2018 | 3 | 09:20 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 3 | 05:33 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 16, 2018 | 1 | 07:35 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 5, 2018 | 3 | 03:40 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |