Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 52.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Franzen 52.0% vs Smith 52.5% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Franzen 76.5%
Defensive zone
Smith 73.6%
Neutral zone
Smith 55.6%
Result
Johan Franzen favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Franzen
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Franzen
Smith
Last 5: Franzen 2-3 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Franzen
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Franzen
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Franzen
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Franzen
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (149)
53.0% (1,048)
-0.7%
Power Play
54.3% (70)
57.4% (47)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
50.0% (196)
+0.0%
On power play, Smith has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Franzen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (138).
Franzen shoots left. Smith is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Franzen
Smith
Home
54.7% (150)
53.9% (629)
Away
49.3% (75)
51.5% (662)
By Period
Franzen
Smith
P1
57.8%
50.4%
P2
52.6%
51.8%
P3
48.6%
56.4%
OT
53.8%
31.6%
Final 5 min
66.7%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Franzen
44.0%▼
49.5%
52.9%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 23, 2013 | 3 | 13:28 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 23, 2013 | 1 | 19:39 | Offensive | Johan Franzen |
| Oct 23, 2013 | 1 | 07:18 | Neutral | Johan Franzen |