Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arcobello 50.8% vs Smith 52.5% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Arcobello 69.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 71.9%
Neutral zone
Smith 52.1%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Arcobello
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Arcobello
Smith
Last 5: Arcobello 1-4 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
1
0
Arcobello
Smith
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Arcobello
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Arcobello
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arcobello
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (344)
53.0% (1,048)
-0.4%
Power Play
46.9% (32)
57.4% (47)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (28)
50.0% (196)
-14.3%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Arcobello is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (266).
Arcobello shoots right. Smith is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (470).
Home / Away
Arcobello
Smith
Home
53.8% (173)
53.9% (629)
Away
48.9% (231)
51.5% (662)
By Period
Arcobello
Smith
P1
51.6%
50.4%
P2
50.7%
51.8%
P3
51.1%
56.4%
OT
0.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2013 | 3 | 15:25 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 2 | 04:46 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 19, 2013 | 1 | 10:29 | Neutral | Zack Smith |