Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ribeiro wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ribeiro 44.0% vs Smith 52.5% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 59.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 96.1%
Neutral zone
Smith 89.1%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 80.2%
19.8%
80.2%
Ribeiro
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Ribeiro
Smith
Last 6: Ribeiro 5-1 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
2
0
Ribeiro
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
0
Ribeiro
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
2
1
Ribeiro
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ribeiro
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (821)
53.0% (1,048)
-9.9%
Power Play
48.1% (77)
57.4% (47)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (5)
50.0% (196)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Ribeiro is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Ribeiro shoots left. Smith is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Ribeiro
Smith
Home
45.2% (504)
53.9% (629)
Away
40.9% (399)
51.5% (662)
By Period
Ribeiro
Smith
P1
42.7%
50.4%
P2
45.3%
51.8%
P3
43.0%
56.4%
OT
20.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
44.4%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.3%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 17:58 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 2 | 01:18 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 16:20 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 16:15 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 08:56 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |