Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Bjugstad wins 41.9% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bjugstad 44.4% vs Smith 51.6% (-11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 70.3%
Defensive zone
Bjugstad 62.7%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 65.3%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 66.4%
66.4%
33.6%
Bjugstad
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Bjugstad
Smith
Last 7: Bjugstad 2-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bjugstad
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Bjugstad
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
1
3
Bjugstad
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bjugstad
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
37.8% (119)
52.6% (635)
-14.8%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
45.5% (44)
+14.5%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
48.1% (52)
+18.6%
On penalty kill, Bjugstad has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Bjugstad is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (93).
Bjugstad shoots right. Smith is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Bjugstad
Smith
Home
40.7% (59)
53.4% (371)
Away
39.7% (73)
50.3% (360)
By Period
Bjugstad
Smith
P1
44.7%
50.2%
P2
38.1%
52.2%
P3
37.2%
52.7%
Final 5 min
55.2%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
40.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2013 | 3 | 01:39 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 16:10 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 04:34 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 19:26 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |