Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.9% vs Smith 52.5% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 56.2%
Defensive zone
Smith 81.5%
Neutral zone
Smith 65.9%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Bonino
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Bonino
Smith
Last 7: Bonino 5-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
3
1
Bonino
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bonino
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (837)
53.0% (1,048)
-3.4%
Power Play
50.7% (223)
57.4% (47)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
41.0% (134)
50.0% (196)
-9.0%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Bonino is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (735).
Bonino shoots left. Smith is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Bonino
Smith
Home
50.7% (564)
53.9% (629)
Away
47.1% (630)
51.5% (662)
By Period
Bonino
Smith
P1
44.9%
50.4%
P2
50.1%
51.8%
P3
50.9%
56.4%
OT
50.0%
31.6%
Final 5 min
47.6%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.8%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2013 | 3 | 06:26 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 18:06 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 11:09 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 1 | 03:57 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 13, 2013 | 1 | 19:12 | Neutral | Zack Smith |