Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Elias wins 42.7% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Elias 42.0% vs Smith 52.5% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Elias 54.7%
Defensive zone
Smith 86.3%
Neutral zone
Smith 77.2%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 70.8%
29.2%
70.8%
Elias
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Elias
Smith
Last 5: Elias 3-2 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Elias
1
0
Elias
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Elias
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Elias
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
40.2% (562)
53.0% (1,048)
-12.8%
Power Play
49.3% (71)
57.4% (47)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
50.0% (196)
-15.9%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Elias is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (436).
Elias shoots left. Smith is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Elias
Smith
Home
39.9% (318)
53.9% (629)
Away
41.5% (359)
51.5% (662)
By Period
Elias
Smith
P1
42.0%
50.4%
P2
38.6%
51.8%
P3
41.1%
56.4%
OT
45.2%
31.6%
Final 5 min
40.7%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Elias
40.0%▲
37.5%
40.8%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |
| Apr 10, 2014 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Patrik Elias |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 3 | 17:01 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 3 | 08:35 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Dec 18, 2013 | 1 | 02:02 | Neutral | Patrik Elias |