Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zacha wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 44.6% vs Smith 48.2% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 64.6%
Defensive zone
Zacha 62.4%
Neutral zone
Zacha 64.8%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 64.4%
64.4%
35.6%
Zacha
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Zacha
Smith
Last 8: Zacha 1-7 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
3
Zacha
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Zacha
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
3
Zacha
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (643)
49.7% (485)
-5.8%
Power Play
48.9% (45)
46.8% (47)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
37.8% (37)
38.6% (88)
-0.8%
On even strength, Smith has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Zacha is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (507).
Zacha shoots left. Smith is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (374).
Home / Away
Zacha
Smith
Home
44.6% (397)
48.7% (310)
Away
43.0% (328)
47.1% (310)
By Period
Zacha
Smith
P1
43.5%
45.8%
P2
44.6%
47.4%
P3
43.8%
50.5%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
43.4%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
43.9%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 15:48 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 18:58 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 3 | 14:31 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 18:15 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 18:07 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 05:44 | Neutral | Zack Smith |