Scouting Report
Zack Smith holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mueller 47.1% vs Smith 51.6% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mueller 64.3%
Defensive zone
Mueller 58.3%
Neutral zone
Mueller 65.2%
Result
Peter Mueller favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Mueller
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Mueller
Smith
Last 8: Mueller 2-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
1
3
Mueller
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
3
Mueller
Smith
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mueller
1
0
Mueller
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mueller
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (79)
52.6% (635)
-10.8%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
45.5% (44)
+6.5%
On even strength, Smith has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Mueller is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (67).
Mueller shoots right. Smith is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Home / Away
Mueller
Smith
Home
43.9% (66)
53.4% (371)
Away
44.7% (38)
50.3% (360)
By Period
Mueller
Smith
P1
53.3%
50.2%
P2
42.5%
52.2%
P3
36.4%
52.7%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
61.5%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mueller
42.0%▼
45.6%
44.2%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 04:31 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 08:36 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 16:30 | Offensive | Peter Mueller |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 03:28 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 10:42 | Neutral | Peter Mueller |