Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Kuraly wins 57.0% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 53.2% vs Smith 49.2% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 79.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 78.7%
Neutral zone
Smith 77.3%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 78.4%
21.6%
78.4%
Kuraly
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Kuraly
Smith
Last 5: Kuraly 0-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Kuraly
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Kuraly
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Kuraly
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (464)
50.9% (666)
+3.6%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
70.0% (10)
-70.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (66)
39.6% (144)
+10.4%
On power play, Smith has a +70.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Kuraly is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (342).
Kuraly shoots left. Smith is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (522).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Smith
Home
52.3% (281)
50.9% (405)
Away
55.6% (250)
47.5% (415)
By Period
Kuraly
Smith
P1
56.0%
47.1%
P2
60.8%
49.6%
P3
44.3%
50.4%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
53.9%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 17:03 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 07:08 | Neutral | Zack Smith |