Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Zajac wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zajac 54.4% vs Smith 51.8% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 68.4%
Defensive zone
Smith 67.7%
Neutral zone
Smith 68.8%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 68.0%
32.0%
68.0%
Zajac
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Zajac
Smith
Last 9: Zajac 2-7 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Zajac
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
2
4
Zajac
Smith
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Zajac
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zajac
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (1,208)
53.5% (430)
+0.6%
Power Play
60.9% (230)
47.7% (65)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (179)
49.1% (114)
+1.2%
On power play, Zajac has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Zajac is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Zajac shoots right. Smith is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (245).
Home / Away
Zajac
Smith
Home
56.3% (778)
54.0% (298)
Away
53.2% (839)
50.2% (311)
By Period
Zajac
Smith
P1
56.3%
55.4%
P2
54.6%
45.9%
P3
53.1%
54.6%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.7%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 05:55 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 17:47 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 3 | 06:57 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 2 | 11:01 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 19:15 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 10:32 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |