Scouting Report
Ben Smith holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Smith 51.2% vs Girgensons 47.6% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 70.0%
Defensive zone
Smith 85.9%
Neutral zone
Smith 58.1%
Result
Ben Smith favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Smith
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Smith
Girgensons
Last 7: Smith 5-2 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Smith
Girgensons
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
4
0
Smith
Girgensons
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Smith
Girgensons
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Smith
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (321)
47.7% (560)
+6.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
28.6% (7)
+71.4%
Penalty Kill
44.5% (146)
33.3% (12)
+11.2%
On power play, Smith has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Smith is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Smith shoots right. Girgensons is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (220).
Home / Away
Smith
Girgensons
Home
54.0% (274)
51.1% (266)
Away
47.9% (194)
43.8% (313)
By Period
Smith
Girgensons
P1
51.7%
48.5%
P2
51.7%
46.8%
P3
51.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
59.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Smith
38.0%▼
49.0%
51.5%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 13:55 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 3 | 06:18 | Neutral | Ben Smith |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 13:21 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Mar 25, 2017 | 1 | 14:13 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Ben Smith |
| Nov 3, 2016 | 1 | 14:19 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |