Scouting Report
Zemgus Girgensons holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gagner on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gagner wins 29.7% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gagner 42.6% vs Girgensons 46.7% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 64.2%
Defensive zone
Gagner 53.6%
Neutral zone
Gagner 60.0%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Gagner
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Gagner
Girgensons
Last 6: Gagner 2-4 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
2
Gagner
Girgensons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gagner
2
1
Gagner
Girgensons
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
1
Gagner
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gagner
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
34.5% (84)
47.3% (298)
-12.8%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
60.0% (5)
-21.5%
On power play, Girgensons has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Gagner is 29.7% vs left-shot opponents (64).
Gagner shoots right. Girgensons is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (131).
Home / Away
Gagner
Girgensons
Home
32.6% (46)
42.1% (152)
Away
37.3% (51)
48.6% (183)
By Period
Gagner
Girgensons
P1
34.5%
49.6%
P2
23.3%
36.6%
P3
45.9%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
23.8%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
35.1%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 07:06 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 14:42 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 06:46 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 06:36 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 01:07 | Defensive | Zemgus Girgensons |