Vincent Trocheck vs Zemgus Girgensons
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Trocheck wins 57.5% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Trocheck 56.0% vs Girgensons 46.0% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 95.3%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 71.0%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 85.0%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 89.1%
89.1%
10.9%
Trocheck
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Trocheck
Girgensons
Last 5: Trocheck 5-0 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
2
0
Trocheck
Girgensons
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
3
0
Trocheck
Girgensons
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Trocheck
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (608)
43.4% (143)
+14.3%
Power Play
64.0% (150)
50.0% (2)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (136)
44.8% (29)
-0.7%
On even strength, Trocheck has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Trocheck is 57.5% vs left-shot opponents (612).
Trocheck shoots right. Girgensons is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (56).
Home / Away
Trocheck
Girgensons
Home
54.4% (366)
40.3% (72)
Away
58.3% (528)
46.1% (102)
By Period
Trocheck
Girgensons
P1
56.0%
43.5%
P2
58.6%
45.5%
P3
55.3%
42.5%
Final 5 min
53.6%
35.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Trocheck
56.0%▬
57.0%
56.7%
Girgensons
60.0%▲
44.5%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 17:31 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 2 | 19:14 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 16:20 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Nov 12, 2025 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |