Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Raty wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Lowry shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.8% vs Lowry 53.4% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 81.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 75.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 77.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 79.3%
20.7%
79.3%
Raty
Lowry
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Raty
Lowry
Last 10: Raty 3-7 Lowry
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
4
Raty
Lowry
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
3
Raty
Lowry
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Lowry
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (478)
55.4% (675)
+5.1%
Power Play
75.0% (20)
83.3% (6)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
63.8% (94)
40.4% (89)
+23.4%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lowry shoots left. Raty is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Raty shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Home / Away
Raty
Lowry
Home
61.4% (332)
54.5% (402)
Away
61.5% (260)
53.3% (368)
By Period
Raty
Lowry
P1
56.6%
52.4%
P2
67.4%
56.0%
P3
59.6%
54.2%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
61.7%
58.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
61.5%
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 11:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 18:45 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 08:55 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |