Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Raty wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Lowry shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Lowry 51.5% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 67.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 81.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 75.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 72.7%
27.3%
72.7%
Raty
Lowry
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Raty
Lowry
Last 10: Raty 3-7 Lowry
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
4
Raty
Lowry
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
3
Raty
Lowry
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Lowry
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (866)
52.8% (9,130)
+5.7%
Power Play
72.2% (36)
57.1% (455)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (106)
44.9% (2,139)
+18.3%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lowry shoots left. Raty is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Raty shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,740).
Home / Away
Raty
Lowry
Home
59.6% (547)
53.5% (5,893)
Away
59.4% (461)
49.6% (5,831)
By Period
Raty
Lowry
P1
59.5%
51.5%
P2
62.8%
51.8%
P3
56.6%
51.4%
OT
53.3%
46.3%
Final 5 min
62.0%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.5%
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 11:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 15:17 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 18:45 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 08:55 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 08:47 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 2 | 07:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |