Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Raty wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 55.7% vs Nelson 51.9% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 55.2%
Defensive zone
Raty 62.8%
Neutral zone
Raty 50.6%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Raty
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Raty
Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
0
2
Raty
Nelson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
2
0
Raty
Nelson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
Nelson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (310)
51.3% (1,002)
+5.5%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
58.7% (126)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
51.9% (81)
+6.4%
On power play, Raty has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Raty is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Raty shoots left. Nelson is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Raty
Nelson
Home
57.1% (168)
52.5% (590)
Away
57.6% (165)
51.7% (619)
By Period
Raty
Nelson
P1
62.4%
50.5%
P2
56.7%
54.4%
P3
53.3%
51.4%
OT
60.0%
47.4%
Final 5 min
65.9%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
57.4%
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:52 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |