Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Raty wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Stephenson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 55.7% vs Stephenson 51.5% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stephenson 74.0%
Defensive zone
Stephenson 70.5%
Neutral zone
Stephenson 71.2%
Result
Chandler Stephenson favored at 71.5%
28.5%
71.5%
Raty
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Raty
Stephenson
Last 5: Raty 1-4 Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
Stephenson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stephenson
0
2
Raty
Stephenson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
0
2
Raty
Stephenson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (310)
51.2% (1,041)
+5.6%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
57.8% (211)
+14.9%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
47.7% (222)
+10.6%
On power play, Raty has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Raty is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Raty shoots left. Stephenson is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Raty
Stephenson
Home
57.1% (168)
52.2% (751)
Away
57.6% (165)
51.0% (723)
By Period
Raty
Stephenson
P1
62.4%
50.4%
P2
56.7%
51.5%
P3
53.3%
53.3%
OT
60.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
65.9%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
57.4%
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 11:29 | Defensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Apr 2, 2025 | 1 | 06:55 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |