Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Stephenson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.8% vs Stephenson 52.0% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 69.9%
Defensive zone
Raty 83.0%
Neutral zone
Raty 80.9%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
Raty
Stephenson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Raty
Stephenson
Last 7: Raty 5-2 Stephenson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Stephenson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
4
0
Raty
Stephenson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stephenson
0
1
Raty
Stephenson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Stephenson
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (478)
52.1% (801)
+8.4%
Power Play
75.0% (20)
62.0% (242)
+13.0%
Penalty Kill
63.8% (94)
39.9% (183)
+23.9%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +23.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stephenson shoots left. Raty is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Raty shoots left. Stephenson is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Home / Away
Raty
Stephenson
Home
61.4% (332)
53.1% (672)
Away
61.5% (260)
51.1% (554)
By Period
Raty
Stephenson
P1
56.6%
54.6%
P2
67.4%
51.3%
P3
59.6%
51.2%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
61.5%
Stephenson
56.0%▲
52.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 12:31 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 2 | 10:15 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Jan 2, 2026 | 1 | 12:11 | Offensive | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | OT | 04:29 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 29, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Chandler Stephenson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 09:51 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |