Scouting Report
Claude Giroux holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 62.7% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.8% vs Giroux 60.9% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 67.5%
Defensive zone
Raty 51.4%
Neutral zone
Raty 55.4%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Raty
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Raty
Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
1
Raty
Giroux
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
0
Raty
Giroux
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (478)
60.3% (395)
+0.2%
Power Play
75.0% (20)
67.3% (107)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
63.8% (94)
65.4% (153)
-1.6%
On power play, Raty has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Raty is 62.7% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Raty shoots left. Giroux is 63.6% vs left-shot opponents (519).
Home / Away
Raty
Giroux
Home
61.4% (332)
65.9% (337)
Away
61.5% (260)
59.1% (318)
By Period
Raty
Giroux
P1
56.6%
62.1%
P2
67.4%
64.5%
P3
59.6%
60.9%
OT
50.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
61.7%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
61.5%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |