Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Raty wins 57.3% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 57.9% vs Giroux 56.8% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 67.4%
Defensive zone
Giroux 50.1%
Neutral zone
Giroux 56.9%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Raty
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Raty
Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Giroux
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
Giroux
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
1
Raty
Giroux
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (781)
55.8% (13,768)
+2.3%
Power Play
74.3% (35)
60.5% (4,061)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
58.6% (87)
57.3% (2,486)
+1.3%
On power play, Raty has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Raty is 57.3% vs right-shot opponents (300).
Raty shoots left. Giroux is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (14,248).
Home / Away
Raty
Giroux
Home
58.8% (478)
59.2% (10,192)
Away
58.8% (425)
54.6% (10,163)
By Period
Raty
Giroux
P1
59.5%
57.5%
P2
61.6%
56.1%
P3
56.1%
57.3%
OT
41.7%
51.4%
Final 5 min
61.3%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
66.0%▲
64.5%
58.8%
Giroux
68.0%▲
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 13:01 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |