Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Giroux shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Giroux 56.8% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Giroux 64.6%
Defensive zone
Raty 57.7%
Neutral zone
Giroux 54.9%
Result
Claude Giroux favored at 53.7%
46.3%
53.7%
Raty
Giroux
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Raty
Giroux
Last 7: Raty 4-3 Giroux
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Giroux
1
2
Raty
Giroux
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
0
Raty
Giroux
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Giroux
0
1
Raty
Giroux
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Giroux
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (866)
55.8% (13,861)
+2.7%
Power Play
72.2% (36)
60.5% (4,075)
+11.7%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (106)
57.4% (2,518)
+5.8%
On power play, Raty has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Giroux shoots right. Raty is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Raty shoots left. Giroux is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (14,370).
Home / Away
Raty
Giroux
Home
59.6% (547)
59.2% (10,252)
Away
59.4% (461)
54.5% (10,242)
By Period
Raty
Giroux
P1
59.5%
57.5%
P2
62.8%
56.2%
P3
56.6%
57.3%
OT
53.3%
51.4%
Final 5 min
62.0%
58.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.5%
Giroux
66.0%▲
58.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 04:39 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 2 | 04:36 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 04:16 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 17:53 | Offensive | Claude Giroux |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 13:01 | Neutral | Claude Giroux |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 3 | 05:36 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |