Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 58.1% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 51.9% vs Lazar 51.1% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 63.1%
Defensive zone
Lazar 74.9%
Neutral zone
Raty 52.4%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Raty
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Raty
Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
2
Raty
Lazar
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (78)
52.9% (242)
+0.9%
Power Play
60.0% (5)
100.0% (3)
-40.0%
On power play, Lazar has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Raty is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (31).
Raty shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (202).
Home / Away
Raty
Lazar
Home
55.3% (47)
57.1% (119)
Away
52.8% (36)
47.1% (153)
By Period
Raty
Lazar
P1
65.4%
53.1%
P2
48.3%
52.2%
P3
50.0%
48.8%
Final 5 min
47.4%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
54.2%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 09:44 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 01:46 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 02:26 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |