Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Raty wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Lazar shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Lazar 49.2% (+10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 60.7%
Defensive zone
Lazar 56.4%
Neutral zone
Lazar 59.1%
Result
Curtis Lazar favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Raty
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Raty
Lazar
Last 9: Raty 4-5 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
2
0
Raty
Lazar
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
1
Raty
Lazar
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
4
Raty
Lazar
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (866)
50.2% (2,658)
+8.3%
Power Play
72.2% (36)
52.3% (65)
+19.9%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (106)
41.9% (415)
+21.3%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Raty is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Raty shoots left. Lazar is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,281).
Home / Away
Raty
Lazar
Home
59.6% (547)
50.1% (1,542)
Away
59.4% (461)
48.2% (1,596)
By Period
Raty
Lazar
P1
59.5%
48.9%
P2
62.8%
48.9%
P3
56.6%
49.5%
OT
53.3%
56.5%
Final 5 min
62.0%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.5%
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 15:08 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 11:42 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 10:59 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 09:44 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 01:46 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 2 | 02:26 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |