Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 55.7% vs Ryan 57.4% (-3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 62.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 59.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 51.4%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Raty
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Raty
Ryan
Last 6: Raty 4-2 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Ryan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
Ryan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Ryan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (310)
61.4% (220)
-4.6%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
100.0% (1)
-27.3%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
51.7% (29)
+6.6%
On power play, Ryan has a +27.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Raty is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Raty shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Home / Away
Raty
Ryan
Home
57.1% (168)
64.2% (137)
Away
57.6% (165)
55.8% (113)
By Period
Raty
Ryan
P1
62.4%
58.9%
P2
56.7%
62.8%
P3
53.3%
59.3%
Final 5 min
65.9%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
57.4%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 10:07 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |