Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Ryan 55.2% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 74.8%
Defensive zone
Raty 74.6%
Neutral zone
Raty 59.3%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Raty
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Raty
Ryan
Last 9: Raty 6-3 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Ryan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Ryan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Ryan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (866)
56.6% (4,102)
+1.9%
Power Play
72.2% (36)
53.2% (342)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (106)
47.8% (649)
+15.4%
On power play, Raty has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Raty is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Raty shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Home / Away
Raty
Ryan
Home
59.6% (547)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
59.4% (461)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Raty
Ryan
P1
59.5%
55.1%
P2
62.8%
54.7%
P3
56.6%
56.0%
OT
53.3%
58.3%
Final 5 min
62.0%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.5%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:42 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 13:51 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 1 | 10:07 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 3 | 10:35 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 06:21 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 5, 2023 | 2 | 06:12 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |