Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +18.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Svechkov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Svechkov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.8% vs Svechkov 44.2% (+18.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 69.0%
Defensive zone
Raty 64.8%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 60.5%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Raty
Svechkov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Raty
Svechkov
Last 5: Raty 2-3 Svechkov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
1
2
Raty
Svechkov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Svechkov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Svechkov
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (478)
43.0% (430)
+17.5%
Power Play
75.0% (20)
33.3% (3)
+41.7%
Penalty Kill
63.8% (94)
40.0% (5)
+23.8%
On power play, Raty has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Svechkov shoots left. Raty is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Raty shoots left. Svechkov is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Raty
Svechkov
Home
61.4% (332)
41.0% (212)
Away
61.5% (260)
44.7% (226)
By Period
Raty
Svechkov
P1
56.6%
36.1%
P2
67.4%
45.4%
P3
59.6%
46.7%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
61.7%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
61.5%
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |