Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +19.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Svechkov on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Svechkov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Svechkov 41.4% (+19.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Svechkov 64.1%
Defensive zone
Raty 68.0%
Neutral zone
Svechkov 62.7%
Result
Fedor Svechkov favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Raty
Svechkov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Raty
Svechkov
Last 5: Raty 2-3 Svechkov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Svechkov
1
2
Raty
Svechkov
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Svechkov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Svechkov
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (866)
40.4% (748)
+18.1%
Power Play
72.2% (36)
41.2% (17)
+31.0%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (106)
25.0% (8)
+38.2%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +38.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Svechkov shoots left. Raty is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Raty shoots left. Svechkov is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (512).
Home / Away
Raty
Svechkov
Home
59.6% (547)
39.2% (393)
Away
59.4% (461)
41.3% (380)
By Period
Raty
Svechkov
P1
59.5%
35.6%
P2
62.8%
45.0%
P3
56.6%
40.2%
OT
53.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
62.0%
39.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.5%
Svechkov
34.0%▼
41.5%
40.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 18:10 | Defensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Fedor Svechkov |
| Nov 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:04 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |