Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +14.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 62.7% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.8% vs Scheifele 47.2% (+14.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 77.8%
Defensive zone
Raty 79.5%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 55.6%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 60.4%
60.4%
39.6%
Raty
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Raty
Scheifele
Last 6: Raty 3-3 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
2
Raty
Scheifele
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
1
Raty
Scheifele
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (478)
46.5% (878)
+14.0%
Power Play
75.0% (20)
48.3% (174)
+26.7%
Penalty Kill
63.8% (94)
50.0% (54)
+13.8%
On power play, Raty has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Raty is 62.7% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Raty shoots left. Scheifele is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (860).
Home / Away
Raty
Scheifele
Home
61.4% (332)
46.2% (571)
Away
61.5% (260)
47.7% (535)
By Period
Raty
Scheifele
P1
56.6%
51.9%
P2
67.4%
45.6%
P3
59.6%
43.9%
OT
50.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
61.7%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
61.5%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | OT | 01:06 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |