Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Raty wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Scheifele 46.8% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Raty leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 50.6%
Defensive zone
Raty 87.9%
Neutral zone
Raty 71.0%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 73.7%
73.7%
26.3%
Raty
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Raty
Scheifele
Last 10: Raty 6-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
0
4
Raty
Scheifele
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Raty
6
1
Raty
Scheifele
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
Scheifele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (866)
46.3% (12,036)
+12.2%
Power Play
72.2% (36)
50.2% (2,563)
+22.0%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (106)
41.6% (598)
+21.6%
On power play, Raty has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Raty is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Raty shoots left. Scheifele is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (10,821).
Home / Away
Raty
Scheifele
Home
59.6% (547)
48.9% (7,644)
Away
59.4% (461)
44.7% (7,554)
By Period
Raty
Scheifele
P1
59.5%
48.2%
P2
62.8%
45.6%
P3
56.6%
46.8%
OT
53.3%
42.5%
Final 5 min
62.0%
45.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.5%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | OT | 01:06 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 13:45 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 09:33 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:28 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 16:16 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 2 | 08:52 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:18 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:11 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:38 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |