Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.8% vs Backlund 49.7% (+11.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 91.1%
Defensive zone
Raty 59.5%
Neutral zone
Raty 78.4%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 85.6%
85.6%
14.4%
Raty
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Raty
Backlund
Last 7: Raty 5-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
3
1
Raty
Backlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Backlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (478)
50.1% (891)
+10.4%
Power Play
75.0% (20)
53.1% (64)
+21.9%
Penalty Kill
63.8% (94)
47.8% (278)
+16.0%
On power play, Raty has a +21.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Raty is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Raty shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Raty
Backlund
Home
61.4% (332)
48.1% (580)
Away
61.5% (260)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Raty
Backlund
P1
56.6%
45.1%
P2
67.4%
54.7%
P3
59.6%
49.0%
OT
50.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
61.7%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
61.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:38 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:52 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |