Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Raty wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 55.7% vs Backlund 48.5% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 69.7%
Defensive zone
Backlund 73.2%
Neutral zone
Backlund 54.3%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 69.7%
69.7%
30.3%
Raty
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Raty
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (310)
50.4% (1,032)
+6.4%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
52.3% (107)
+20.4%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
40.6% (313)
+17.7%
On power play, Raty has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Raty is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Raty shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Raty
Backlund
Home
57.1% (168)
48.7% (749)
Away
57.6% (165)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Raty
Backlund
P1
62.4%
50.4%
P2
56.7%
50.1%
P3
53.3%
45.8%
OT
60.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
65.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
57.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:14 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |