Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Raty wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Backlund 49.0% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Raty leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Raty 86.0%
Defensive zone
Raty 77.1%
Neutral zone
Raty 74.0%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 81.2%
81.2%
18.8%
Raty
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Raty
Backlund
Last 10: Raty 7-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
4
2
Raty
Backlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
3
1
Raty
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (866)
49.7% (13,410)
+8.8%
Power Play
72.2% (36)
51.6% (1,336)
+20.6%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (106)
44.0% (2,446)
+19.2%
On power play, Raty has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Raty is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Raty shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,953).
Home / Away
Raty
Backlund
Home
59.6% (547)
49.7% (8,565)
Away
59.4% (461)
48.3% (8,632)
By Period
Raty
Backlund
P1
59.5%
48.5%
P2
62.8%
50.3%
P3
56.6%
48.4%
OT
53.3%
44.1%
Final 5 min
62.0%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.5%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2025 | 3 | 00:38 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:54 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 02:52 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 23, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 03:14 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 6, 2023 | 2 | 17:28 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |