Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Raty wins 60.9% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 59.8% vs Paul 53.3% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 56.1%
Defensive zone
Raty 86.5%
Neutral zone
Raty 81.4%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Raty
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Raty
Paul
Last 8: Raty 5-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
4
0
Raty
Paul
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Raty
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
60.5% (478)
53.2% (327)
+7.3%
Power Play
75.0% (20)
61.4% (57)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
63.8% (94)
50.0% (32)
+13.8%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Raty is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Raty shoots left. Paul is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Raty
Paul
Home
61.4% (332)
54.6% (183)
Away
61.5% (260)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Raty
Paul
P1
56.6%
56.3%
P2
67.4%
54.8%
P3
59.6%
52.4%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
61.7%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
61.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 11:13 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 17:37 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Nick Paul |