Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Raty wins 59.8% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Paul 52.2% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 79.8%
Defensive zone
Raty 80.6%
Neutral zone
Raty 69.4%
Result
Aatu Raty favored at 77.7%
77.7%
22.3%
Raty
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Raty
Paul
Last 9: Raty 6-3 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
5
0
Raty
Paul
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Raty
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Raty
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (866)
52.5% (3,796)
+6.0%
Power Play
72.2% (36)
56.5% (480)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (106)
46.7% (574)
+16.5%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Raty is 59.8% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Raty shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,067).
Home / Away
Raty
Paul
Home
59.6% (547)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
59.4% (461)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Raty
Paul
P1
59.5%
53.9%
P2
62.8%
51.0%
P3
56.6%
52.0%
OT
53.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
62.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 11:13 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 18:30 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 17:37 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 06:01 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 8, 2024 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |