Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 55.7% vs Carrick 53.7% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raty 70.3%
Defensive zone
Carrick 74.5%
Neutral zone
Carrick 68.2%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Raty
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Raty
Carrick
Last 5: Raty 2-3 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
1
0
Raty
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
2
Raty
Carrick
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Raty
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (310)
53.8% (654)
+3.0%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
0.0% (2)
+72.7%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
63.9% (36)
-5.6%
On power play, Raty has a +72.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Raty is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (128).
Raty shoots left. Carrick is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Home / Away
Raty
Carrick
Home
57.1% (168)
50.0% (328)
Away
57.6% (165)
58.0% (364)
By Period
Raty
Carrick
P1
62.4%
56.7%
P2
56.7%
51.1%
P3
53.3%
54.8%
Final 5 min
65.9%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
57.4%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 12:18 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 05:12 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |