Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Raty wins 58.9% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 58.7% vs Carrick 52.1% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Carrick 55.5%
Defensive zone
Carrick 83.2%
Neutral zone
Carrick 67.0%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 73.3%
26.7%
73.3%
Raty
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Raty
Carrick
Last 10: Raty 4-6 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Carrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
2
4
Raty
Carrick
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Raty
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
58.5% (866)
52.1% (2,513)
+6.4%
Power Play
72.2% (36)
61.3% (75)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (106)
50.7% (430)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Raty has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Raty is 58.9% vs right-shot opponents (336).
Raty shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Raty
Carrick
Home
59.6% (547)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
59.4% (461)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Raty
Carrick
P1
59.5%
51.8%
P2
62.8%
52.2%
P3
56.6%
52.4%
Final 5 min
62.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 08:06 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:50 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:09 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 12:18 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 2 | 02:56 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 16:05 | Defensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 10:55 | Offensive | Aatu Raty |
| Nov 19, 2024 | 1 | 05:12 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |