Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Cracknell on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cracknell 46.8% vs Dowd 48.1% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dowd 85.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 53.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 55.3%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Cracknell
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Cracknell
Dowd
Last 6: Cracknell 5-1 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cracknell
1
0
Cracknell
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cracknell
4
1
Cracknell
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cracknell
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (278)
47.2% (608)
-1.2%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
53.1% (96)
+13.6%
Penalty Kill
35.7% (14)
0.0% (3)
+35.7%
On penalty kill, Cracknell has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Cracknell is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Cracknell shoots right. Dowd is 50.4% vs right-shot opponents (224).
Home / Away
Cracknell
Dowd
Home
49.2% (130)
48.7% (384)
Away
43.0% (165)
46.7% (323)
By Period
Cracknell
Dowd
P1
44.4%
50.2%
P2
45.3%
47.5%
P3
49.2%
46.2%
Final 5 min
45.3%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cracknell
38.0%▼
43.5%
45.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2017 | 2 | 16:05 | Defensive | Adam Cracknell |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 2 | 09:04 | Neutral | Adam Cracknell |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 1 | 11:45 | Neutral | Adam Cracknell |
| Jan 9, 2017 | 1 | 01:51 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 05:00 | Neutral | Adam Cracknell |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | Adam Cracknell |