Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 50.0% vs Henrique 53.8% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 74.3%
Defensive zone
Henrique 90.4%
Neutral zone
Henrique 61.4%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Fantilli
Henrique
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Fantilli
Henrique
Last 8: Fantilli 5-3 Henrique
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
0
Fantilli
Henrique
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
2
Fantilli
Henrique
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Henrique
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Henrique
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (842)
56.1% (376)
-6.5%
Power Play
52.5% (99)
47.6% (21)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
50.8% (124)
+3.7%
On even strength, Henrique has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Henrique shoots left. Fantilli is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (622).
Fantilli shoots left. Henrique is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (351).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Henrique
Home
50.8% (472)
53.5% (215)
Away
49.2% (480)
55.2% (306)
By Period
Fantilli
Henrique
P1
47.8%
57.7%
P2
52.7%
53.8%
P3
50.0%
51.6%
OT
30.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.0%
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 17:58 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |