Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +14.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Henrique shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Henrique 55.1% (-14.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 76.3%
Defensive zone
Henrique 73.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 51.0%
Result
Adam Fantilli favored at 54.1%
54.1%
45.9%
Fantilli
Henrique
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Fantilli
Henrique
Last 7: Fantilli 3-4 Henrique
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
0
Fantilli
Henrique
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
0
2
Fantilli
Henrique
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
0
2
Fantilli
Henrique
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Henrique
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
57.5% (723)
-16.8%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
73.2% (56)
-21.1%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
45.5% (231)
-28.8%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Henrique shoots left. Fantilli is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Fantilli shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Henrique
Home
44.1% (488)
56.4% (518)
Away
38.6% (531)
54.9% (492)
By Period
Fantilli
Henrique
P1
42.0%
56.0%
P2
43.0%
55.2%
P3
39.3%
56.2%
OT
11.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
41.2%
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 09:46 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 18:44 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |