Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Fantilli wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Henrique shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 45.4% vs Henrique 50.6% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Fantilli leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Fantilli 52.2%
Defensive zone
Henrique 85.4%
Neutral zone
Henrique 69.1%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 66.2%
33.8%
66.2%
Fantilli
Henrique
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Fantilli
Henrique
Last 10: Fantilli 5-5 Henrique
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
6
0
Fantilli
Henrique
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
4
Fantilli
Henrique
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
3
Fantilli
Henrique
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Henrique
Edge
Even Strength
44.7% (2,134)
50.8% (9,527)
-6.1%
Power Play
52.0% (204)
54.5% (1,762)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
46.2% (1,822)
-14.2%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Henrique shoots left. Fantilli is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,569).
Fantilli shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,505).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Henrique
Home
47.3% (1,178)
52.5% (6,418)
Away
43.0% (1,185)
48.8% (6,716)
By Period
Fantilli
Henrique
P1
44.0%
50.6%
P2
46.2%
51.4%
P3
45.9%
50.2%
OT
24.1%
40.6%
Final 5 min
43.9%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.2%
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 09:52 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 17:58 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 08:09 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 05:11 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 10, 2025 | 2 | 03:16 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 3 | 06:10 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 1 | 09:46 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 08:28 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 18:44 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 1 | 08:17 | Neutral | Adam Fantilli |