Scouting Report
Charlie Coyle holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Fantilli wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Coyle 51.5% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 61.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 87.4%
Neutral zone
Coyle 59.6%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Fantilli
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Fantilli
Coyle
Last 7: Fantilli 4-3 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
4
0
Fantilli
Coyle
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
1
Fantilli
Coyle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coyle
0
2
Fantilli
Coyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
53.0% (1,046)
-9.7%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
57.6% (144)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
43.6% (287)
-43.6%
On penalty kill, Coyle has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Fantilli is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Fantilli shoots left. Coyle is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,181).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Coyle
Home
46.8% (218)
54.5% (719)
Away
39.7% (174)
48.8% (758)
By Period
Fantilli
Coyle
P1
40.3%
51.1%
P2
38.1%
50.0%
P3
54.1%
53.3%
OT
30.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
38.9%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%▲
51.0%
43.6%
Coyle
54.0%▲
49.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:37 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 10:23 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 3 | 08:24 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 15:11 | Defensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 2 | 09:11 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 27, 2023 | 1 | 15:52 | Neutral | Charlie Coyle |